Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.176988 0.208633 0.244008 0.286442 0.335923 0.391762 0.459524
2025-09-14 0.129730 0.170383 0.220642 0.287180 0.372793 0.479069 0.620844
2025-09-21 0.101132 0.144041 0.201233 0.282702 0.395406 0.545418 0.759805
2025-09-28 0.082902 0.126279 0.187796 0.280860 0.417459 0.609874 0.900615
2025-10-05 0.073864 0.119202 0.187016 0.295011 0.461712 0.708061 1.098198
2025-10-12 0.067598 0.114876 0.189027 0.312633 0.512126 0.819667 1.327248
2025-10-19 0.060642 0.108121 0.185934 0.321231 0.548732 0.913314 1.538190
2025-10-26 0.053459 0.099732 0.178773 0.321758 0.571592 0.986703 1.723623
2025-11-02 0.045883 0.089411 0.166778 0.312138 0.575594 1.028651 1.860193
2025-11-09 0.038815 0.078891 0.152901 0.297114 0.567822 1.048900 1.960378
2025-11-16 0.034762 0.073460 0.147500 0.296694 0.585925 1.115630 2.148820
2025-11-23 0.030373 0.066691 0.138627 0.288420 0.588083 1.153199 2.286989
2025-11-30 0.027554 0.062958 0.135655 0.292268 0.615912 1.244945 2.544099
2025-12-07 0.024695 0.058729 0.131182 0.292663 0.637349 1.327681 2.795061
2025-12-14 0.021800 0.053927 0.124787 0.288069 0.647801 1.389649 3.011306
2025-12-21 0.019511 0.050128 0.119991 0.286191 0.663572 1.463785 3.260175
2025-12-28 0.018639 0.049569 0.122358 0.300600 0.716529 1.620922 3.700427
2026-01-04 0.018044 0.049593 0.126063 0.318541 0.779499 1.805958 4.220270
2026-01-11 0.016926 0.048095 0.125917 0.327295 0.822280 1.951098 4.667020
2026-01-18 0.015470 0.045456 0.122596 0.327832 0.845627 2.054948 5.031138
2026-01-25 0.013668 0.041563 0.115546 0.318038 0.842630 2.097815 5.258488
2026-02-01 0.011841 0.037276 0.106841 0.302741 0.823939 2.101574 5.393350
2026-02-08 0.010848 0.035253 0.103902 0.302313 0.843137 2.198382 5.763475